Patients advise their peers on how to cope with their illness in daily life on online support groups. To date, no efforts have been made to automatically extract recommended coping strategies from online patient discussion groups. We introduce this new task, which poses a number of challenges including complex, long entities, a large long-tailed label space, and cross-document relations. We present an initial ontology for coping strategies as a starting point for future research on coping strategies, and the first end-to-end pipeline for extracting coping strategies for side effects. We also compared two possible computational solutions for this novel and highly challenging task; multi-label classification and named entity recognition (NER) with entity linking (EL). We evaluated our methods on the discussion forum from the Facebook group of the worldwide patient support organization 'GIST support international' (GSI); GIST support international donated the data to us. We found that coping strategy extraction is difficult and both methods attain limited performance (measured with F1 score) on held out test sets; multi-label classification outperforms NER+EL (F1=0.220 vs F1=0.155). An inspection of the multi-label classification output revealed that for some of the incorrect predictions, the reference label is close to the predicted label in the ontology (e.g. the predicted label 'juice' instead of the more specific reference label 'grapefruit juice'). Performance increased to F1=0.498 when we evaluated at a coarser level of the ontology. We conclude that our pipeline can be used in a semi-automatic setting, in interaction with domain experts to discover coping strategies for side effects from a patient forum. For example, we found that patients recommend ginger tea for nausea and magnesium and potassium supplements for cramps.This information can be used as input for patient surveys or clinical studies.

OBJECTIVE: Outbreaks of influenza-like diseases often cause spikes in the demand for hospital beds. Early detection of these outbreaks can enable improved management of hospital resources. The objective of this study was to test whether surveillance algorithms designed to be responsive to a wide range of anomalous decreases in the time between emergency department (ED) presentations with influenza-like illnesses provide efficient early detection of these outbreaks. METHODS: Our study used data on ED presentations to major public hospitals in Queensland, Australia across 2017-2020. We developed surveillance algorithms for each hospital that flag potential outbreaks when the average time between successive ED presentations with influenza-like illnesses becomes anomalously small. We designed one set of algorithms to be responsive to a wide range of anomalous decreases in the time between presentations. These algorithms concurrently monitor three exponentially weighted moving averages (EWMAs) of the time between presentations and flag an outbreak when at least one EWMA falls below its control limit. We designed another set of algorithms to be highly responsive to narrower ranges of anomalous decreases in the time between presentations. These algorithms monitor one EWMA of the time between presentations and flag an outbreak when the EWMA falls below its control limit. Our algorithms use dynamic control limits to reflect that the average time between presentations depends on the time of year, time of day, and day of the week. RESULTS: We compared the performance of the algorithms in detecting the start of two epidemic events at the hospital-level: the 2019 seasonal influenza outbreak and the early-2020 COVID-19 outbreak. The algorithm that concurrently monitors three EWMAs provided significantly earlier detection of these outbreaks than the algorithms that monitor one EWMA. CONCLUSION: Surveillance algorithms designed to be responsive to a wide range of anomalous decreases in the time between ED presentations are highly efficient at detecting outbreaks of influenza-like diseases at the hospital level.